Category: Reddit Post

Another Too Big To Fail?

Yesterday, Boeing shares (BA) showed a $10 rise on the news of acquiring Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) with a total transactional value of $8.3 billion. Seriously? Are we celebrating? What happened to the effect of the other news that came out shortly before, stating that the US Justice Department will charge Boeing Co. with criminal fraud, leaving the planemaker to choose between pleading guilty or taking the risk of going to trial, according to people familiar with the matter. Boeing has until the end of the week to decide whether to plead guilty to the charge, the department told the families of victims of two fatal 737 Max crashes and their attorneys in a meeting Sunday, according to the people who asked not to be named discussing a confidential matter. The department will inform Boeing it will have to pay an additional criminal fine of $243.6 million on top of the $243.6 million already paid with a 2021 deferred-prosecution agreement, bringing the total amount of fine close to $500 million, according to two of the people. The company will also have to hire a corporate monitor for three years, they said. Paul Cassell, an attorney representing the crash victims’ families, called the offer the department plans to make to Boeing a “sweetheart plea deal.” “The deal will not acknowledge, in any way, that Boeing’s crime killed 346 people,” he said in an email. “The families will strenuously object to this plea deal.” The fine the department will seek falls far short of a nearly $25 billion fine the families requested — with the possibility of suspending $14 billion to $22 billion of that if Boeing devotes those funds to an independent corporate monitor and improvements to its safety programs. The Justice Department declined to comment. Boeing declined to comment. Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-30/doj-to-charge-boeing-seek-guilty-plea-from-planemaker I understand that compared to what the families of the victims demanded, it’s peanuts, but since when has this been considered good news for the value of an asset? submitted by /u/FXgram_ [link] [comments]

Investments Are Not All Sunshine and Rainbows_part 2

part 1 is here Guys who have raised a lot of money seem incredibly successful. Any entrepreneur would be pleased, especially when respected gentlemen managing billion-dollar funds “believe” in them. In theory, it all looks beautiful: capitalists provide cash, advice, and connections, along with PR and inspiration. But there are some problems with other people’s money. Firstly, funds make large bets. And they need large wins. Ben learned this the hard way: the fund that invested in him didn’t want to make 10 or 25 million dollars. They needed at least a hundred million. Secondly, big venture capitalists have become very selective and rarely make more than 2-3 investments a year. They are looking for startups that show explosive growth in large markets. A company that will be sold for 50 million dollars bringing them a 30 percent profit won’t make a big difference for the fund owners. Some investors would rather crush a small, good startup to death trying to turn it into a unicorn than agree to a modestly positive deal. And the founders will have to pass up a great offer for them personally just because the big boss doesn’t find it grand enough. submitted by /u/FXgram_ [link] [comments]

Peppesrtone, Chris Weston:The RBA has an inflation headache – the August RBA meeting is now live

Authored by Chris Weston It’s the big fear for Aussie mortgage holders, but after today’s May CPI data we are now seeing the 24 August RBA meeting as ‘live’. So, while the June employment report (due 18 July) and Q2 CPI report (31 July) will go some way to truly determining a hike – judging by market pricing, a 25bp hike in August is now a real risk and the brave economists out there will be looking at their house call and begrudgingly tweaking it. Plugging the various CPI components into the Q2 CPI model, and estimates suggest we’re shaping up for a trimmed mean Q2 CPI print of 0.9% q/q, which would be a touch above the RBA’s own forecasts of 0.8%. We see estimates of core services +0.4%m/m and again this is just too high. Headline CPI did fall a touch month-on-month, which is the silver lining, but when we annualize this, we see inflation has risen and progress on inflation is glacial. We need to remember that there is a stark difference between a psychological token 25bp hike and that of a new hiking cycle – but in the art of being pro-active, the RBA may want to get the real policy rate a touch higher. We’ll learn more tomorrow when RBA member Hauser speaks (20:00 AEST) and Aussie rates and AUD traders will be glued to every word to see if the pricing in markets is correct. However, the markets have spoken out, and we see the Aus 3yr govt bond +15bp to 4.07% and testing range highs in yield. Aussie swaps price 10bp of hikes (or a 40% implied) for the August RBA meeting, where it holds this pricing through the end of the year, with easing not priced until April 2025. In equity land, the ASX200 fell 47p on the data but has found better buyers into 7750. The AUD has firmed up in line with rates pricing, although we’re seeing better sellers in the mix as we roll into the meat of Asia trade. AUDUSD hits a high of 0.6679, where we see consolidation and wait to see how London/European desks trade this move. AUDNZD the play for divergence central bank paths, with the cross pushing into 1.0914 – rate differentials are supportive, and this has 1.1000 in the crosshairs. EURAUD looks to print a new closing low in this run, where EUR traders remain risk managers of the impending 1st round election vote on Sunday, but this feels like it pushes lower too. However, in a world where G10 central banks are either easing or signaling the start of an easing cycle, the RBA, alongside the Norges Bank, is looking more and more like the outlier and that has real meaning for the AUD – if the Chinese yuan wasnt trending lower, the AUD would ripping higher and would be attracting huge pools of global capital. Where to trade? You know 👉 https://track.pepperstonepartners.com/visit/?bta=38408&brand=pepperstone submitted by /u/XGramatik [link] [comments]

Investments Are Not All Sunshine and Rainbows_part 1

Once upon a time, there was a startup founder, let’s call him Ben. After seven grueling years of “blood, sweat, and instant noodles” (though that’s often an exaggeration, let’s believe it for the sake of the story), he finally built his “house of friendship.” With a substantial round of funding from a top venture capital firm, things were looking up. By 2011, Ben and his team were on the brink of selling their business for a cool $88 million. The deal was almost sealed, and Ben was on the verge of becoming a wealthy man. The venture capital fund that backed him stood to double its investment. But then, disaster struck. The investor, who had the power to veto such deals, pulled the plug at the last moment. “They told me to wait for a better offer,” Ben wrote in his blog. Of course, they thought billion-dollar deals were just around the corner! The better offer never came. Not after a year, not after two. The company lost its momentum – naturally, it was no longer a startup. The co-founders got burnt out and left. And when Ben finally wanted to cash in his late-night instant noodle sacrifices, he had to settle for an amount that was a mere fraction of that once-promising offer. This story is just one of many we never hear about. submitted by /u/FXgram_ [link] [comments]

The European Council has unveiled a 14th package of sanctions, targeting crypto providers established outside of Europe that support Russia’s defence-industrial base.

European leaders have adopted another package of sanctions designed to target “high-value sectors of the Russian economy, like energy, finance and trade, and make it ever more difficult to circumvent EU sanctions.” In a Jun. 24 press release, the European Council revealed that the latest package includes restrictive measures on an “additional 116 individuals” as well as entities “responsible for actions undermining or threatening the territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence of Ukraine.” Reuters notes in a report that following the latest action, the sanctions list now includes more than 2,200 entities. Among multiple restrictive measures developed to “crack down on [sanctions] circumvention,” the European Council also introduced a ban on transactions targeting crypto providers “established outside of the EU, when these entities facilitate transactions that support Russia’s defence-industrial base through the export, supply, sale, transfer or transport towards Russia of dual-use goods and technology, sensitive items, battlefield goods, firearms and ammunition.” The specifics of how European countries plan to monitor the industry for potential sanctions violations remain unclear, with some industry experts suggesting it will require extensive due diligence efforts. This development comes a few months after the European Council and Parliament agreed on stricter regulations for crypto firms to enhance anti-money laundering (AML) measures in the sector. Starting from January, crypto firms must scrutinize their customers more closely, particularly for transactions of €1,000 or more. The aim is to ensure cryptocurrencies aren’t used for illegal activities or for sanctions evasion. submitted by /u/Lor1al [link] [comments]