Stock trades for both Democrat and Republican politicians outperformed the S&P 500 in 2024, gaining 31% and 26%, respectively. FIVE politicians actively traded an annual gain of 100% or MORE in 2024, per Unusual Whales. Here’s the full breakdown.

Stock trades for both Democrat and Republican politicians outperformed the S&P 500 in 2024, gaining 31% and 26%, respectively. FIVE politicians actively traded an annual gain of 100% or MORE in 2024, per Unusual Whales. Here's the full breakdown.

As shown here, on a weighted average basis, both parties outperformed the S&P 500. While the S&P 500 gained ~24%, Democrats ended the year 31% higher. Republicans also ended the year 26% higher.

So how does this compare to Wall Street’s returns in 2024?

https://preview.redd.it/p7r9e2cb8mbe1.png?width=900&format=png&auto=webp&s=7687265a20465e08be2fbd5533065af3c4c66b68

Here are the top 5 hedge fund returns in 2024, per Bloomberg:

  1. DE Shaw: +36.1%
  2. Bridgewater China: +35.0%
  3. Statar: +25.3%
  4. Broad Reach: +24.3%
  5. Marshall Wace: +22.6%

In other words, both political parties outperformed ALL but 2 large hedge funds in the US.

Here are best returns posted by US Congress members. As seen below, FIVE politicians posted an annual gain of 100% or more. Nancy Pelosi posted an annual gain of 71%, nearly TRIPLING the S&P 500’s return. Much of these gains were fueled by technology stocks.

https://preview.redd.it/admgxtlh8mbe1.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=89729d8b85ff17e57f881ff53ff4b6d2f562ed26

Furthermore, only 8 members of Congress who were actively trading posted a negative annual return. Meanwhile, the average retail investor was up just 3.7% through November 2024, according to JPMorgan data. A large percentage of retail traders ended the year in the red.

https://preview.redd.it/8j5zcu9l8mbe1.png?width=750&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c56bcee2b3caab0231248338a0978e63e112bca

Here’s a chart comparing time in Congress versus performance in the market. There seems to be a slight positive correlation between more time in Congress and better returns. This regression shows an R Squared value of 0.017, so not necessarily a huge correlation.

https://preview.redd.it/apeqwz8o8mbe1.png?width=1000&format=png&auto=webp&s=3b2c31b4ac350dd52c04ca223b33fe0c17d91b39

As seen below, Democrats hold nearly 50% of their portfolio in technology stocks. Financial services are the second most popular sector, at 13.4%, but nothing comes close to tech. Democrats are HIGHLY concentrated in technology investments.

https://preview.redd.it/c4lk7g7s8mbe1.png?width=900&format=png&auto=webp&s=f8ed0087facca697ed4d6e5ea2e46cbd736a999e

In 2025, we will be following the trades of active members in Congress, thanks to Unusual Whales for this data.

Often, these trades have come before major fiscal policy announcements or legislation.

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