Month: November 2024

Trade Futures With A Plus

FXgram The Ugly Truth About Trading Related Posts 02 June 2024 Sky-Tide Marketing SkyTide – the official news publication of Gramatik LTD. SkyTide – the… Read More Trade Future With A Plus If you’re new to the trading scene and make an annual income below $250,000, I recommend you move on, as most regulatory bodies may not consider the investing activities suitable for you due to the risks involved, until… you’re ready to do your homework. Published by FXgram on November 22, 2024 Starting out, you want to really understand the basics of reading candles, charts (technical analysis) and practice on a platform that allows the unlimited paper trading (not just a 2-week demo account). If I were new in your shoes, I would do the following: Read the candlestick bible until page 111 (after it goes into strategy). As you go through the material, look through the live charts to get an idea of how things move, etc. The candlestick PDF can be found online for free; you can search it up. After you finish this, you will want to start learning the strategy. Linked below is the Futures Academy with free educational licensed videos and articles. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Paper trade using the above information to practice taking trades as you develop your system, finding out what works best for you, etc. You really want to collect as much data as possible to understand what works, what doesn’t work, what to improve on, what to avoid, etc. After a few weeks of consistent paper trading success (making more than you lose), consider trading with real money. Be prepared for the challenge of trading psychology. You’ll face emotions like greed and fear, and discover a lot about yourself. Use this as an opportunity to grow – not just as a trader, but as a person. Lastly, take your time! It is a lot of material to go over, it can be confusing at first but as you get in screen time. You will eventually be able to understand it. If you can spend at least an hour a day that would be fantastic. That’s it. Good luck on your trading journey – you’ve got this! FUTURES ACADEMY TRY FREE DEMO Get a Bonus With Your First Deposit FXgram The Ugly Truth About Trading Related Posts 02 June 2024 Sky-Tide Marketing SkyTide – the official news publication of Gramatik LTD. SkyTide – the… Read More Terms And Conditions Privacy Policy IMPORTANT: Trading in futures and options carries substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The valuation of futures and options contracts may fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably, and, as a result, clients may lose more than their original investments. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or implied promise or guarantee by or from Gramatik Ltd that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Information provided in this correspondence is intended solely for informational purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. Follow us:

Looking for markets to short? Take a closer look at the Russian bond market. The risk of defaults here is pushed to the limit.

In the Russian bond market, the term “default” doesn’t imply collapse or catastrophe. It has become a fairly routine, albeit unpleasant, event – borrowers failing to meet their obligations on time. Recently, defaults have mostly involved smaller companies. However, the period of high interest rates has changed the game: over the past year, the obligations of bond issuers have grown two to three times, and so has the price of risk. Over the last two years, there have been more than 40 defaults (including technical ones) on exchange-traded bonds, totaling over 10 billion rubles and impacting more than 80,000 retail investors. Independent estimates suggest that the number of defaults could double in the next two years. These expectations are primarily driven by the high-interest rate environment. Just last summer, the key rate stood at 7.5 – 8.5%, but a year later, it has surged to 16%, and as of late October 2024, it reached 21%. The Central Bank has not ruled out another rate hike at its December board meeting, and market participants predict it could rise to 22 – 23%. Corporate bond yields have followed suit. According to Bonds Labs, yields on bonds issued by top-rated companies (such as Sberbank, Russian Railways, MTS, RusHydro, etc.) now range from 19% to 22% annually. Issuers with high credit ratings (e.g., RSHB, Rostelecom, EuroChem) are offering yields of 22–25% per year. For lower-quality bonds, yields have climbed to 30–33% annually. Servicing debt has effectively become two to three times more expensive for issuers compared to a year ago. And this high-rate period might persist. While analysts expect the key rate to decline in 2025, the drop is likely to be modest – to around 18 – 19%. The Central Bank’s forecast for the average rate next year is 17 – 20%. These conditions make rising concerns about issuers’ ability to meet their obligations entirely reasonable. This is especially true for issuers of so-called high-yield bonds, which carry elevated investment risks. “Clearly, in an environment of extremely high rates that will remain until at least mid-to-late 2025, servicing and refinancing debt will be exceptionally challenging for such companies, potentially leading to a surge in defaults in the public debt market,” analysts warn. The next peaks in corporate bond repayments in Russia are expected in Q4 2024, as well as in February and April 2025. If high rates persist, “the resilience of companies to interest rate pressures may be severely depleted.” submitted by /u/XGramatik [link] [comments]

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TKL: Current situation

Stocks are rising like the bull market just started Bitcoin is set to cross $100,000 for the first time in history Nvidia, NVDA, just went from red to green and is now worth $3.7 trillion Oil prices are back above $70 like a recession was avoided Gold prices are nearing $2700 for the first time since Election Day Volatility, VIX, is down 30% from the October highs The post-election rally is back. submitted by /u/XGramatik [link] [comments]

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Economists see Russian inflation exceeding the central bank’s 2024 estimate

https://preview.redd.it/plmotll70b2e1.png?width=800&format=png&auto=webp&s=40fa453cbb1e4a5fcb7381cfc39e8840b344a44a Leading Russian economists expect inflation in Russia to exceed the central bank’s estimate for this year, increasing the likelihood of another aggressive benchmark interest rate hike next month. Consumer prices rose by 0.37% in the latest week, according to statistical data, pushing the headline figure since the start of the year to 7.4%, close to the central bank’s full-year inflation estimate of 8.0-8.5%. “There is a real threat that inflation will exceed the October forecast of the central bank, prompting the regulator to aggressively raise the key rate again in December, this time to 23%,” said Denis Popov from PSB Bank. Reuters collected the views of 10 economists for this story. The central bank hiked its benchmark rate to 21% in October, stating that a tight monetary policy was needed to combat inflation. The move prompted a barrage of criticism from business leaders who said it was stifling investment and credit. The October upward revision of the full-year inflation estimate was the third publicly known this year by the central bank. Some critics argued that the monetary measures had little or no impact on inflation while dampening growth and leading to stagflation, a phenomenon that combines a high inflation rate with economic stagnation. Dmitry Polevoy from Astra Asset Manager said that if the central bank’s rate-setting meeting took place tomorrow, a hike to 23% would be certain. “Given the current macroeconomic inputs, everything looks extremely unfavorable for the central bank,” Polevoy said, predicting full-year inflation to exceed 9%. Inflation was fueled by rises in prices for potatoes, butter, sunflower oil, dairy products, and imported fruits. Prices for potatoes, a staple food for many Russians, have risen by 74% since last December. The central bank, in its reports, blamed bad weather, which affected crops, poor logistics, a weakening rouble, and increased costs, such as for raw materials and labor, for high inflation. The government, on its part, is trying to increase imports of some key food products, like butter, lower export barriers, limit or ban some exports, and help improve logistics to contain price growth. Despite this concerted effort, inflation keeps rising. “The current growth trajectory is unfolding above the forecast of the Bank of Russia,” said Renaissance Capital analysts. They added that if inflation is above 9% by mid-December, the regulator will respond by hiking the rate to 23%.ond by hiking the rate to 23%. submitted by /u/Pllover12 [link] [comments]

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Nicaragua plans to build a new interoceanic canal as an alternative to the Panama Canal. Ha! Epic. Nicaragua? Build? An alternative to the Panama Canal?

At a recent summit focused on strengthening trade between China and Latin America, Nicaragua announced its plans to construct a new Grand Interoceanic Canal. The proposed route aims to provide an alternative to the Panama Canal, which has been facing challenges due to low water levels. The 445-kilometer canal would pass through Lake Nicaragua, connecting the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. With a width of 290 to 540 meters and a depth of 27 meters, the canal is designed to accommodate large modern vessels. This initiative has the potential to become a significant infrastructure project, enhancing economic ties between China and the Caribbean nations. https://preview.redd.it/4c0qa6dbea2e1.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=be50a45aeb4c5be440370d6f76ffa98ccea35754 submitted by /u/XGramatik [link] [comments]

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