Goldman has some potential reaction functions: 🇺🇸

  • Trump w/ Republican Sweep = 25% probability; S&P +3%

  • Trump w/ Divided Government = 30% probability; S&P +1.5%

  • Harris w/ Democratic Sweep = 5% probability; S&P -3%

  • Harris w/ Divided Government = 40% probability; S&P -1.5%

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