Strong May job gains dim hopes for fed rate cuts amid mixed economic signals. What will this bring us?

In short, nothing fun overall.

The report shows the initial numbers higher than expected, let’s look at them:

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 272,000 in May (vs. 190,000 expected). April’s figure was revised down to 165,000.

Despite this, the unemployment rate rose to 4%, and the labor force participation rate dropped. The report in general suggests mixed signals about the economy, and shows both robust job growth and underlying weaknesses.

Not to mention last: wages also grew more than expected, potentially impacting the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates. As the result – the stock market reacted negatively to the report, which doesn’t sound good. Again.

And there are key points of the article:

Job Growth: Nonfarm payrolls increased by 272,000 in May vs. 190,000 expected. April’s figure was revised down to 165,000. Unemployment Rate: Rose to 4%, the first time above this level since January 2022. Labor force participation rate decreased to 62.5%. Employment Composition: Household employment fell by 408,000. Full-time workers declined by 625,000. Part-time positions increased by 286,000. Sector-specific Gains: Health care (+68,000), Government (+43,000), Leisure and Hospitality (+42,000). Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (+32,000), Social Assistance (+15,000), Retail (+13,000). Wages: Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% month-over-month and 4.1% year-over-year (above the expected 0.3% and 3.9%). Market Reaction: Stock futures declined, Treasury yields surged. Reduced likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in July and lowered expectations for September and December cuts. Federal Reserve Impact: Policymakers likely to maintain current interest rates longer due to strong job and wage growth. Current benchmark federal funds rate is 5.25%-5.5%.

submitted by /u/Aftermebuddy
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